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An Inframarginal Analysis of the Ricardian Model* Wenli Cheng REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS RRH: Infra-marginal Analysis of the Ricardian
Model Abstract This paper shows that a 2x2 Ricardian model
has a unique general equilibrium and the comparative statics of the
equilibrium involve discontinuous jumps. If partial division of labor
occurs in equilibrium, the country producing both goods would impose
a tariff, whereas the country producing a single good would prefer
unilateral free trade. If complete division of labor occurs in equilibrium,
both countries would negotiate to achieve free trade. In a model with
three countries, the country which does not have a comparative advantage
relative to the other two countries and/or which has low transaction
efficiency may be excluded from trade. *Cheng: P. O. Box 587, Wellington, New Zealand. Tel: 64 4 472 0590, Fax: 64 4 472 0596, Email: wenlicheng@compuserve.com. Sachs: insert Mailing address, Tel: Fax: E-mail: Yang: insert Mailing address, Tel: , Fax: E-mail: xiaokai_yang/FS/KSG@ksg.harvard.edu. We wish to thank Elhanan Helpman, Lin Zhou, Monchi Lio, Meng-Chung Liu, the referee for Review of International Economics, and the participants of the seminar at Monash University for helpful comments. The financial support from Australian Research Council Large Grant A79602713 is gratefully acknowledged. We are solely responsible for the remaining errors. JEL classification: F10, F11
There have been only a few non-marginal analyses
of the Ricardian model in the literature. Houthakker (1976) proposed
a computational method to calculate the equilibrium pattern of division
of labor in a two-country, many-commodity Ricardian model. Rosen (1978)
applied linear programming to study the optimum work assignment in
the presence of comparative advantage. He suggested that the notion
of economies of division of labor is not a technical concept, but
a concept that describes social interdependence (or "superadditivity"
in Rosen's terminology): the more interactions among individuals,
the greater scope for productivity improvement . Rosen's work represents a significant step
away from the marginal analysis. However, designed to address a firm's
work assignment problem, his model does not immediately relate to
international trade. In this paper, we use a non-marginal approach
similar to Rosen's (1978) to study the trade patterns and related
issues in the Ricardian model. We intend to show that with a non-marginal
approach, the original Ricardian model can generate numerous insights
in a simple and intuitive way. We refer to the non-marginal approach in this
paper as the infra-marginal analysis. The infra-marginal analysis
is, loosely speaking, a combination of marginal and total cost-benefit
analysis. We discuss the features of the infra-marginal analysis later
in this paper. In particular, we demonstrate that the infra-marginal
analysis is consistent with a decentralized decision-making process.
We also show that when the infra-marginal analysis is applied, two
types of comparative static analyses can be conducted. The first type
is the conventional comparative statics which involve continuous changes
in endogenous variables in response to a small change in a parameter.
The second type involves discontinuous jumps of endogenous variables
among different patterns of trade when changes in a parameter exceed
certain threshold values. Using the infra-marginal analysis, we examine
several issues associated with international division of labor. Firstly,
we incorporate transaction costs into the simple 2x2 Ricardian model
and analyze the relationship between transaction costs and the division
of labor. According to Adam Smith (1776), the division of labor is
limited by the extent of the market (Chapter 3), and the extent of
the market is determined by transportation costs (p.31-32). We formalize
Smith's conjecture in our model. Secondly, we examine the effect of tariff
in a 2x2 Ricardian model. We show that (1) if partial division of
labor occurs in equilibrium, the country that produces both goods
chooses unilateral protection tariff, and the country producing a
single good chooses unilateral laissez faire policy; and (2) if complete
division of labor occurs in equilibrium, both countries would prefer
tariff negotiation to tariff war. The tariff negotiation would lead
to a bilateral laissez faire regime. This result can be used to explain
why unilateral protection tariff and unilateral laissez faire may
coexist; and why tariff negotiations may sometimes be essential to
achieving free trade. This result also appears to be consistent with
our observation of a policy shift from unilateral protection tariff
to tariff negotiation and trade liberalization. The rest of this paper is organized
as follows. Section 2 presents the general equilibrium 2x2 Ricardian
model with transaction costs and discusses the implications of the
infra-marginal analysis. Section 3 examines the effects of tariff.
Section 4 considers a 3x2 model. The concluding section summarizes
the findings of the paper and suggests possible extensions. Inframarginal Economics Society¯¸ www.inframarginal.com
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